I am now quite confident these numbers are right.
online total raised: $6,043,022.96
online donations: 59,170
This is not the total raised for the day, however. There are some offline donations and some store purchases to factor in. I'm sure we'll be getting those numbers tomorrow and the quarter totals will be updated.
Tomorrow I'll start recovering from this incredible day and moving forward with all the new data that's available.
I am going to go sleep myself into a coma.
12/17/07
Final Online Numbers
Posted by
Dan B
at
2:15 AM
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25 comments:
Way To Go People!
Just wanted to thank you very much for your efforts. I think it's awesome how you've put this together for the rest of us. You rock! :)
thank you very much for this service you have done. i really enjoyed it.
looks like we have a carry over effect already 150K raised for Monday
Fair game and good show! I wish I was there in Boston to see it all go down an amazing day!
This graphics of you gives a real clear view of how it is going on. I was able to know how much we would raise after 1PM yesterday. Amazing how the people divide trhough out the day and donate during the whole day. Good work. Thankyou.
Keep up the good work!!!
I think that some people would be interested in one additional graph: Get details on the average -
number of contributions vs. Dollar
say 0-10, 10-20, 20-30, etc.
Also: what was the Dec 16 total over a 30 hour time period - there seemed to be an increase in contributions for 4 hours before (Europe?) and 4 hours after (Hawaii?) the 24 hour time period
Thank you op! Thank you very much!!
Are your graphs set for time zone differences? It looks like there was a rush at the end hours (Monday morning). If those were made in the Pacific time zone then would they be counted for the day? Thanks for everything you do.
Small problem with the stats at the moment... The prediction for the quarter is SMALLER than the actual amount we already have. This can't be right ;)
last updated: 12/17/07 08:16 AM EST
total raised today: $161,279
total raised Q4: $18,162,869
average daily total: $232,857
projected Q4 total: $16,226,736
total donors today: 2,204
average daily donors: 2,617
total donors Q4: 204,151
days to end of quarter: 14
Great work Dan! Thank you!
On NPR this morning, Cokie Roberts stated that Ron Paul supporters raised 5 million yesterday. I think she was mistaken.
If you compare the donation meter at midnight on December 16 with the donation meter at midnight on December 17, the total is closer to 6.35 million (followed by an almost immediate 100 grand more right after the servers recovered, but that didn't show up until after midnight). This is more than just quibbling because according to media reports after the November 5 money bomb, Hillary Clinton holds the record at 6.2 million raised in one day on June 30. I happen to agree with the Paul campaign that the 6.2 million figure likely represents several days' events near the end of the quarter, and not actually the amount she hauled in on a single day, but nonetheless, it's what she reported in her FEC filing. The media tends to take such things at face value. So, if the donation meter was correct, and he really raised about 6.4 million give or take, please make that information public and fast. I'd like there to be no doubt about who holds the record.
Now, who thinks we can make $20 million by midnight 12/31????
could your donation rate graph be per minute instead of per hour?
According to FEC information, this is how much Obama and Clinton raised in Q3 for the primary.
18,913,250 Obama
19,784,618 Clinton
As of this writing, Paul has
18,267,531
Based on today's post money bomb fundraising, he should pass up Obama mid day Wednesday, and Clinton by Saturday.
And everything I read says Clinton and Obama will raise less this quarter than they did last quarter.
Ron Paul's campaign should be ready to highlight this information in press releases.
Interestingly, many candidates seem to bring in less money each quarter, especially the GOP. I wonder why. But I don't know if its the same for Hillary and Obama.
It seems as though Huckabee just added his off-line totals..
Really big donors (1000$+) tend to give at the beginning because the campaigns know how to contact them (the low hanging fruit). So the big dollar donations go down every quarter as a percentage of total donations. Campaign's that have something new later in the cycle (e.g. Paul, Huckabee, Kerry in 04, etc) grow later, but they are the exception to the rule. Virtually every other campaign this season gets less money over time.
Also, Q4 is the time when people are busy with Christmas holidays and the campaigns are busy with last minute campaigning (as opposed to fundraising). The difference with Paul is that he spends very little time fundraising.
But the Romneys, Clintons, Guiliani's etc do spend a lot of time wooing big donors. They just can't afford to do that in Q4 when Iowa is on Jan 3, NH on Jan 8, SC/NV on Jan 19, etc.
FYI, in Q3, the $1000+ donors made up
83% of Guiliani's primary money
79% of Romney's primary $(not counting his loans)
78% of Clinton's primary $ (not counting her 10M transfered from her Senate account)
67% of McCain's primary $ in 2008
vs.
39% of McCain in 2000
31% of Paul's money
It was 20% of Dean's '04 Campaign thru Q4. I'm guestimating that it will be 15% of Paul's Campaign money thru Q4.
I think there may be a bug in the way RonPaulGraphs.com is reporting the Huckabee numbers. The Huckabee homepage says they have 4.4M for Q4, not the 7.5M that RonPaulGraphs.com says. Huckabee said they wanted 2M in Nov and 1.5M in the first 15 days of Dec. That's 3.5, plus I'm guessing another 1M in October which would make 4.5.
From Huckabee's webpage:
To finish out the 4th Fundraising Quarter we are challenging our supporters to help us reach $5,000,000 raised online.
This total does not reflect what is being raised at events, on the phone or from our traditional direct mail program.
While most of Paul's money seems to be online, I think the numbers they show on their website are total, not just online, correct?
My guess on the Huckabee spike is that they changed the ticker from showing the current month total to showing the total for Q4. The chart on RonPaulGraphs seems to be counting Oct-Nov donations twice.
$3M (Oct-Nov) + $4.5M (Oct-Present)=$7.5M
I think Dan'll figure out the huck jump once he wakes up, sometime this weekend.
He told me he's already on it.
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